(CNN) — US President Joe Biden said Tuesday that he expected all states to open eligibility for the COVID-19 vaccine to all adults by April 19. And at the current rate of vaccination, roughly 3 million doses administered each day, every adult in the United States could be vaccinated by midsummer.
But not all Americans plan to get vaccinated. While states like New York and North Dakota could vaccinate all willing adults in June, some states could take until the end of 2021, and there are two very different reasons for that gap.
A survey by the US Census Bureau found that at least one in six adults “probably” or “definitely” does not plan to get vaccinated and, in some states, up to a third of adults do not plan to get vaccinated. Other surveys have found that vaccine hesitancy rates are even higher, reducing the vaccination line.
And in some states, the launch of vaccines is simply slow, even when many residents demand them.
As the race between covid-19 variants and vaccines continues, differences in vaccinations and the rate at which vaccines are given mean that the race seems quite different from state to state.
Some states may fully vaccinate all willing adults by June, but for others, it may take until the end of the year, an analysis of federal data by CNN shows.
How long will it take to vaccinate adults in some states?
New York has one of the lowest vaccine hesitancy rates in the country. About 85% of adults in the state plan to get vaccinated or have already done so, according to a recent survey by the U.S. Census Bureau.The state is also vaccinating at a rate that is one of the fastest in the country. based on data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
In the past week, New York has added nearly 146,000 people to the full vaccination pool each day. At that rate – nearly 950 fully vaccinated people per 100,000 residents each day – and with nearly 4 million adults in the state already fully vaccinated, 85% of adults in New York could be fully vaccinated in about two months.
North Dakota is vaccinating at about half the rate of New York – about 570 fully vaccinated people per 100,000 residents each day – but could reach its vaccination capacity at about the same time as New York due to high rates of vacillation. . According to the census survey, only about 68% of adults say they have been vaccinated or plan to do so, one of the lowest rates in the country.
Georgia and Alabama are vaccinating their populations at the slowest rate – fewer than 300 fully vaccinated people per 100,000 residents each day. In both states, about 75% of adults have been vaccinated or plan to do so, bringing the vaccination schedule to October for Alabama and November for Georgia.
In both Vermont and Massachusetts, about 92% of adults have been vaccinated or plan to do so, more than in any other state. But Vermont is vaccinating at a faster rate than Massachusetts and could vaccinate all willing adults by early July, about a month earlier than Massachusetts.
The most recent household pulse survey from the Census Bureau was conducted in the first two weeks of March.
For CNN’s analysis, adults were judged to be willing to be vaccinated if they “received or plan to receive all required doses,” or if they have not yet been vaccinated but “definitely” or “probably” plan to do so. CNN calculated the vaccination rate using the most recent seven-day average of fully vaccinated adults reported by the CDC and population data from the Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey.